Ulrich Hoffrage
Coordonnées
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Professeur ordinaire
Département de comportement organisationnel Contact Ulrich.Hoffrage@unil.ch Internef, bureau 614 Tél 021.692.34.90 Adresse postale Université de Lausanne Quartier UNIL-Chamberonne Bâtiment Internef 1015 Lausanne |
Enseignements
bachelor Judgment and Decision Making Formations concernées Baccalauréat universitaire ès Sciences en management Baccalauréat universitaire en sciences économiques |
master Managerial Decision Making Formations concernées Maîtrise universitaire ès Sciences en management, Orientation stratégie, organisation et leadership Maîtrise universitaire ès Sciences en management, Orientation marketing Maîtrise universitaire ès Sciences en management, Orientation comportement, économie et évolution Maîtrise universitaire ès Sciences en management, Orientation business analytics Maîtrise universitaire en Droit et économie |
bachelor Seminar: Judgment and decision making Formations concernées Baccalauréat universitaire ès Sciences en management Baccalauréat universitaire en sciences économiques |
master Unethical Decision Making - Advanced Formations concernées Maîtrise universitaire ès Sciences en finance, Orientation gestion des actifs et des risques Maîtrise universitaire ès Sciences en finance : Entrepreneuriat financier et science des données Maîtrise universitaire ès Sciences en finance, Orientation finance d'entreprise Maîtrise universitaire ès Sciences en management, Orientation stratégie, organisation et leadership Maîtrise universitaire ès Sciences en management, Orientation marketing Maîtrise universitaire ès Sciences en management, Orientation comportement, économie et évolution Maîtrise universitaire ès Sciences en management, Orientation business analytics Maîtrise universitaire en Droit et économie |
master Unethical Decision Making - Basics Formations concernées Maîtrise universitaire ès Sciences en finance, Orientation gestion des actifs et des risques Maîtrise universitaire ès Sciences en finance : Entrepreneuriat financier et science des données Maîtrise universitaire ès Sciences en finance, Orientation finance d'entreprise Maîtrise universitaire ès Sciences en management, Orientation stratégie, organisation et leadership Maîtrise universitaire ès Sciences en management, Orientation marketing Maîtrise universitaire ès Sciences en management, Orientation comportement, économie et évolution Maîtrise universitaire ès Sciences en management, Orientation business analytics Maîtrise universitaire en Droit et économie |
Assistants
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Konstantinos Armaos
konstantinos.armaos@unil.ch Tél: (021 692) 3494 Bureau: NEF 621 page personnelle |
Publications
100 dernières publications
: Revue avec comité de lecture
2019
Hoffrage Ulrich (2019). Digitalisierung: Verheissung und Verhängnis. AGORA - in geänderter Zeitlage, 21, 25-29. | |
Hoffrage Ulrich (2019). Persönliche Verantwortung und Verantwortungsübernahme in Systemen. Pädiatrie & Pädologie. ![]() | |
Hoffrage Ulrich (2019). Modeling Experts with Fast-and-Frugal Heuristics. | |
Hoffrage Ulrich , Reisen Nils (2019). Using multiple methods to elicit choices and to identify strategies. A Handbook of Process Tracing Methods (pp. 339-352). Routledge, New York. | |
Martignon L. , Hoffrage U. (2019). Wer wagt, gewinnt? Wie Sie die Risikokompetenz von Kindern und Jugendlichen fördern können. Hogrefe Verlag. | |
2018
Hoffrage Ulrich (2018). From representation via planning to action: an extension of Egon Brunswik's Theory of Probabilistic Functionalism. Environment Systems and Decisions, 38, 69-73. | |
2017
Woike Jan K., Hoffrage Ulrich ; Martignon Laura (2017). Integrating and testing natural frequencies, naïve Bayes, and fast-and-frugal trees. Decision, 4, 234-260. | |
2016
Hoffrage U. (2016). Overconfidence. Cognitive illusions: Intriguing phenomena in thinking, judgement, and memory (pp. 291-314). Psychology Press, Hove, UK. | |
Hoffrage U. , Hafenbrädl S. (2016). Cognitive Illusions. The SAGE Encyclopedia of Theory in Psychology (pp. 149-151). SAGE Publications, Inc., Thousand Oaks, CA. | |
Hoffrage U. , Marewski J.N. (2016, Jan). Modeling and aiding intution: In the twilight between the conscious and the unconscious. The Brunswik Society Newsletter, 31 (pp. 14-17). | |
Hoffrage U. , Marewski J.N. (2016, Jan). Modeling and Aiding Intuition: In the Twilight between the Conscious and the Unconscious. The Brunswik Society, 31 (pp. 14-17). | |
Marewski J.N., Hoffrage U. ; Fisher R.P. (2016). Modeling and Aiding Intuition: Introduction to the Commentary Section. Journal of Applied Research in Memory and Cognition, 5, 318-321. ![]() | |
2015
Garcia-Retamero R., Cookely E. ; Hoffrage U. (2015). Visual aids improve diagnostic inferences and metacognitive judgment calibration. Frontiers in Psychology, 6, NA. ![]() | |
Hafenbrädl S. , Hoffrage U. (2015). Toward an ecological analysis of Bayesian inferences: How task characteristics influence responses. Frontiers in Psychology, 6, 1-15. ![]() | |
Hoffrage U., Hafenbrädl S. ; Bouquet C. (2015). Natural frequencies facilitate diagnostic inferences of managers. Frontiers in Psychology, 6, 1-11. ![]() | |
Hoffrage U. , Koller M. (2015). Chances and risks in medical risk communication. GMS German Medical Science - an Interdisciplinary Journal, 13, 1-7. ![]() | |
Hoffrage U. , Koller M. (2015). Chancen und Risiken der Risikokommunikation in der Medizin. GMS German Medical Science - an Interdisciplinary Journal, 13, 8-15. ![]() | |
Hoffrage U., Krauss S., Martignon L. ; Gigerenzer G. (2015). Natural frequencies improve Bayesian reasoning in simple and complex inference tasks. Frontiers in Psychology, 6, 1-14. ![]() | |
Hoffrage U. , Marewski J. N. (2015). Unveiling the Lady in Black: Modeling and aiding intuition. Journal of Applied Research in Memory and Cognition, 4, 145-163. ![]() | |
Hoffrage U. , Marewski J. N. (2015, Nov). Unveiling the Lady in Black: Brunswikian (and other) approaches to intuition. The Brunswik Society Newsletter, 30 (pp. 15-19). | |
Koller M. , Hoffrage U. (2015). Gesellschaftliche Perspektiven von Risikowahrnehmung und Risikokompetenz. GMS German Medical Science - an Interdisciplinary Journal, 13, 7-12. ![]() | |
Koller M. , Hoffrage U. (2015). Societal perspectives on risk awareness and risk competence. GMS German Medical Science - an Interdisciplinary Journal, 13, 1-6. ![]() | |
Marewski J. N. , Hoffrage U. (2015, Nov). Special issue and call for commentaries: Modeling and aiding intuition in organizational decision making. The Brunswik Society Newsletter, 30 (pp. 28-31). | |
White C. M., Hoffrage U. ; Reisen N. (2015). Choice deferral can arise from absolute evaluation or relative comparison. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 21, 140-157. ![]() | |
2014
2013
Garcia-Retamero R. , Hoffrage U. (2013). Visual representation of statistical information improves diagnostic inferences in doctors and their patients. Social Science and Medicine, 83, 27-33. ![]() | |
Hafenbrädl ., Hoffrage U. ; White C.M. (2013). The impact of affect on willingness-to-pay and desired-set-size. Progress in Brain Research (Vol. 202, pp. 21-35). Elsevier, Amsterdam, Netherlands. | |
Hafenbrädl S., HOFFRAGE U. (Dir.) (2013). Ethics, expectations and escalation : perspectives on managerial decision making. Université de Lausanne, Faculté des hautes études commerciales. | |
Hertwig R. , Hoffrage U. (2013). Simple heuristics: The foundations of adaptive social behavior. Simple heuristics in a social world (pp. 3-36). Oxford University Press, New York. | |
Hertwig R., Hoffrage U. ; the ABC Research Group (2013). Simple Heuristics in a Social World. Oxford University Press, New York, NY. | |
Reimer T. , Hoffrage U. (2013). Simple Heuristics and Information Sharing in Groups. Simple heuristics in a social world (pp. 319-342). Oxford University Press, New York, NY. | |
2012
Gonin M., Palazzo G. ; Hoffrage U. (2012). Neither Bad Apple nor Bad Barrel: How the Societal Context Impacts Unethical Behavior in Organizations. Business Ethics: A European Review, 21, 31-46. ![]() | |
Hertwig R., Hoffrage U. ; Sparr R. (2012). How estimation can benefit from an imbalanced world. Ecological rationality: Intelligence in the world (pp. 379-406). Oxford University Press, New York, NY. | |
Kurzenhäuser S. , Hoffrage U. (2012). Designing risk communication in health. Ecological rationality: Intelligence in the world (pp. 428-453). Oxford University Press, New York, NY. | |
Marewski J. N. , Hoffrage U. (2012). Call for papers: Modeling and aiding intuitions in organizational decision making. Journal of Applied Research in Memory and Cognition, 1, 267-268. | |
Palazzo G., Krings F. ; Hoffrage U. (2012). Ethical Blindness. Journal of Business Ethics, 109, 323-338. ![]() | |
2011
Hoffrage U. (2011). Recognition judgments and the performance of the recognition heuristic depend on the size of the reference class. Judgment and Decision Making, 6, 43-57. ![]() | |
Hoffrage U. (2011). Comment se comporter d'une manière irresponsable et contraire à l'éthique sans s'en apercevoir. Pour un Management Responsable au 21e Siècle (pp. 185-195). Pearson. | |
Hoffrage U. (2011). How People Can Behave Irresponsibly and Unethically Without Noticing It. Responsible Management Practices for the 21st Century (pp. 173-182). Pearson Education, Paris. | |
Hoffrage U. , Hertwig R. (2011). Simple Heuristics in a Complex Social World. Social Judgment and Decision Making (pp. 135-150). Psychology Press, Hove, UK. | |
White C.M., Hafenbrädl S., Hoffrage U., Reisen N. ; Woike J.K. (2011). Are groups more likely to defer choice than their members?. Judgment and Decision Making, 6, 239-251. ![]() | |
2010
Berg N. , Hoffrage U. (2010). Compressed environments: Unbounded optimizers should sometimes ignore information. Minds and Machines, 20, 259-275. ![]() | |
Berg N., Hoffrage U. ; Abramczuk K. (2010). Fast Acceptance by Common Experience: FACE-recognition in Schelling's model of neighborhood segregation. Judgment and Decision Making, 5, 391-410. ![]() | |
Garcia-Retamero R., Hoffrage U., Mueller S. M. ; Maldonado A. (2010). The Influence of Causal Knowledge in Two-Alternative Forced-Choice Tasks. Open Psychology Journal, 3, 136-144. ![]() | |
Reisen N. , Hoffrage U. (2010). The InterActive Choice Aid: A new approach to supporting online consumer decision making. AIS Transactions on Human-Computer Interaction, 2, 112-126. ![]() | |
2009
Skubisz C., Reimer T. ; Hoffrage U. (2009). Communicating Quantitative Risk Information. Annals of the International Communication Association, 33, 177-211. | |
White C. M. , Hoffrage U. (2009). Testing the tyranny of too much choice against the allure of more choice. Psychology and Marketing, 26, 280-298. ![]() | |
Woike J. K., Hoffrage U. ; Hertwig R. (2009, Nov). Comparing estimation strategies in real-world environments. Annual Meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making. ![]() | |
2008
Berg N. , Hoffrage U. (2008). Rational ignoring with unbounded cognitive capacity. Journal of Economic Psychology, 29, 792-809. ![]() | |
Gigerenzer G., Hoffrage U. ; Goldstein D. G. (2008). Postscript: Fast and frugal heuristics. Psychological Review, 115, 238-239. | |
Gonin M., Palazzo G. ; Hoffrage U. (2008, Mai). Homo Economicus Unchained. 15th International Symposium on Ethics, Business and Society. IESE Business School - University of Navarra. | |
Hoffrage U., Garcia-Retamero R. ; Czienskowski U. (2008). Compound cue processing in linearly and nonlinearly separable environments. The Psychological Record, 58, 301-314. ![]() | |
Hoffrage U., White C. ; Reisen N. (2008, Juil). Choice deferral arising from absolute evaluation or relative comparison. XXIX International Congress of Psychology. | |
Reisen N. , Hoffrage U. (2008, Nov). Online purchase decisions: how much influence on information display do consumers desire?. Annual Meeting of the Society for Judgment and Decision Making. | |
Reisen N., Hoffrage U. ; Mast F. W. (2008). Identifying decision strategies in a consumer choice situation. Judgment and Decision Making, 3, 641-658. ![]() | |
Rieskamp J. , Hoffrage U. (2008). Inferences under time pressure: how opportunity costs affect strategy selection. Acta Psychologica, 127, 258-276. ![]() | |
Woike J.K. , Hoffrage U. (2008, Juil). Identifiying Decision Strategies. 29th International Congress of Psychology. International Union of Psychological Science (IUPsyS). ![]() | |
2007
Gigerenzer G. , Hoffrage U. (2007). The role of representation in Bayesian reasoning: Correcting common misconceptions. Behavioral and Brain Sciences, 30, 264-267. ![]() | |
Hoffrage U. (2007). Hindsight Bias. Encyclopedia of social psychology (pp. 430-431). Sage, Thousand Oaks, CA. | |
Reimer T., Hoffrage U. ; Katsikopoulos K. V. (2007). Entscheidungsheuristiken in Gruppen [Heuristics in group decision-making]. NeuroPsychoEconomics, 2, 7-29. ![]() | |
2006
de Treville S., Hoffrage U. ; Petty J.S. (2006, Jan). Cognitive illusions in operations management. Proceedings of the 2006 Annual Meeting of the Academy of Management (pp. 17). ![]() | |
Garcia-Retamero R. , Hoffrage U. (2006). How causal knowledge simplifies decision-making. Minds and Machines, 16, 365-380. ![]() | |
Hoffrage U. (2006). Evolutionäre Ansätze. Handbuch der Allgemeinen Psychologie - Kognition (Vol. 5, pp. 400-405). Hogrefe, Göttingen, Germany. | |
Hoffrage U. , Hertwig R. (2006). Which world should be represented in representative design?. Information sampling and adaptive cognition (pp. 381-408). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK. | |
Reimer T. , Hoffrage U. (2006). The ecological rationality of simple group heuristics: effects of group member strategies on decision accuracy. Theory and Decision, 60, 403-438. ![]() | |
2005
Hoffrage U. (2005). Heuristics: fast and frugal. Encyclopedia of Statistics in Behavioral Science (Vol. 2, pp. 795-799). Wiley, Chichester, UK. | |
Reimer T. , Hoffrage U. (2005). Can simple group heuristics detect hidden profiles in randomly generated environments. Swiss Journal of Psychology, 64, 21-37. ![]() | |
Todd P. M., Hertwig R. ; Hoffrage U. (2005). Evolutionary cognitive psychology. The handbook of evolutionary psychology (pp. 776-802). Wiley, 111 River Street, Hoboken, NJ 07030-5774. | |
2004
Dhami M., Hertwig R. ; Hoffrage U. (2004). The role of representative design in an ecological approach to cognition. Psychological Bulletin, 130, 959-988. ![]() | |
Hoffrage U. (2004). Overconfidence. Cognitive Illusions: A Handbook on Fallacies and Biases in Thinking, Judgement and Memory (pp. 235-254). Hove, UK: Psychology Press. | |
Hoffrage U. , Gigerenzer G (2004). How to improve the diagnostic inferences of medical experts. Experts in science and society (pp. 249-268). New York: Kluwer Academic/Plenum Publishers. | |
Mots-clés
- biais dans les décisions
- prise de décision dans le management
- procédure de prise de décision