Prediction market in R&D

C├ędric Gaspoz and Yves Pigneur. A design science approach for developping prediction markets in a research and development community. In Proc. 41th Annual Hawaii International Conference on System Sciences (HICSS), volume 41. IEEE Computer Society, January 2008 (PDF).

The main objective of this research is to design and operate a prediction market inside an R&D community, to assess the emergence and the evolution of mobile technologies. To support this research, we iteratively developed and evaluated several prototypes. We intend to demonstrate the successful use of prediction markets for predicting the impact of a research activity. Furthermore, following a design science paradigm, we illustrate the design of our artifacts using build-and-evaluate loops supported with a field study, which consisted in operating the prediction markets in different settings.


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